Syria: Is settlement truly impossible?
by Ghaleb Kandil on 26 Dec 2012 0 Comment

Many analyses, reports and positions in regard to the Syrian situation have been talking about the impossibility of settlement at the level of the ongoing conflict between the Syrian national state and the Al-Qaeda affiliated terrorist gangs led by the Al-Nusra Front and including a mixture of Muslim Brotherhood elements and multinational Takfiri groups, along with local gangs featuring a mixture of thieves and bandits.


Firstly, the decisive factor at this level is the balance of powers within Syrian society and its reflection on the two fronts involved in the conflict, i.e. the national state and the Syrian Arab Army on one hand, and the terrorist gangs collaborating with NATO on the other. Any close follower of the Syrian situation knows very well that the Syrian popular majority which constitutes a solid core - extending beyond sects and regions – and has expressed since the beginning of the crisis its support to President Bashar al-Assad and all the initiatives he adopted in the face of terrorism and rebellion, has expanded during the course of events, did not retreat and was joined by two new factions: the gray faction which was neutral, and which clearly stood alongside the Syrian Arab Army, the national state and President Al-Assad following the expansion of terrorism and the uncovering of the chapters of the foreign attack against the country, thus rejecting anarchy and wishing to see the reinstatement of Syrian stability under the authority of the centralized state, far away from any foreign intervention and the bloody terrorism practiced by Al-Qaeda.


On the other hand, there was a wide popular faction under the influence of the reform slogans at the beginning of the incidents. But soon enough, it discovered up-close the honesty of President Bashar al-Assad and the national state in regard to the efforts to introduce reforms. This happened in parallel to the exposure of the opposition's foreign ties and its rejection of dialogue. Hence, this faction, and despite its insistence on its reformatory aspirations, is rejecting the authority of the thugs, murderers and terrorists that has become the real project of the Syrian opposition movements linked to the West. On the field, this is being sensed by the Syrians, in the presence of gangs affiliated with the Al-Nusra Front, which pushed this faction of the people to rally around the opposition movements and symbols that are cooperating with the principle of dialogue and national partnership, and are sincere about the rejection of foreign intervention and the fighting of colonial aggression.


Secondly, the vast majority of Syrians is fully standing behind the national state, its army and president, and there is no doubt that a small social faction representing the base of the Muslim Brotherhood organization and some other opposition groups is still hostile towards the state and the army for different motives and calculations. But the number of people belonging to this faction is decreasing to the point of constituting a clear minority on the Syrian street, and is losing more of its components in each area witnessing the presence of the Nusra Front armed men, due to their spread of terrorism and their hosting of Takfiri elements, thieves, murderers, outlaws, arms smugglers and drug dealers.


Thirdly, this balance in Syrian society is determining the direction of the conflict, and there is no doubt that wide circles among the majority supporting the state and the army is rushing the military settlement, far away from any talk about compromise with the terrorist gangs or the parties collaborating with the West. However, if the talk about the impossibility of the settlement is due to the balance of human and military power between the Syrian Arab Army and the terrorist gangs, this calculation is surely erroneous, without downplaying the impact of the presence of tens of thousands of terrorists, including thousands of foreigners and professional slaughterers on Syrian soil, or the seriousness of the weapons and funds that were dispatched to them under American directives. This is also without downplaying the size of the economic depletion which resulted from the continuation of the incidents and the terrorist attacks, at a time when the Syrian national state is trying to face these events with an exceptional dynamism required by the nature of the developments.


The aforementioned factors mean that the fight put up by the Syrian state, people and army against terrorism will last a long time, and that all the pending settlements on the political level will not lead to the ending of terrorism. They also mean that all the international contacts and efforts are pointless, and will not allow the ending of the Syrian bloodshed unless the national state is supported in the face of international terrorism, and unless deterring measures are adopted against all the countries involved in the support of terrorism with money and weapons, i.e. the United States, the NATO member states, the Turkish government, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Libya among other countries interfering in Syrian domestic affairs. These terrorist gangs are a foreign tool to destroy the Syrian state, and any other talk about the Syrian situation is a lie and falsification.


The author is a journalist

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